Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Volga Ulyanovsk v Spartak Kostroma in the First League, played at Trud Stadium. In the table, Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th, upper half, on 22 points after 18 matches; Spartak Kostroma are 6th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
Volga Ulyanovsk, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Chelyabinsk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Volga Ulyanovsk 1.3 xG, Spartak Kostroma 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Volga Ulyanovsk 38%, draw 28%, Spartak Kostroma 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.87.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (68%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Volga Ulyanovsk38%fair 2.64 · @2.64
Draw28%fair 3.55 · @2.99
Spartak Kostroma34%fair 2.94 · @2.73
2.45Expected goals
1.29Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.16Spartak Kostroma xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 1.3 – 1.2 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Volga Ulyanovsk
Spartak Kostroma
Attack vs First League average
-10%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.27
1.07
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Volga Ulyanovsk to win✓
38%
2.64
2.64
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.87
Draw no bet
Volga Ulyanovsk (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Kostroma +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Volga Ulyanovsk to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Volga Ulyanovsk / FT Volga Ulyanovsk✓
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.00
–
Recent results
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 4
DWDW
15 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–2
D
9 Mar
@ Arsenal Tula
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Enisey
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Rotor Volgograd
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Spartak Kostroma – last 2
DD
22 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Chelyabinsk
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and Spartak Kostroma.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Spartak Kostroma 34%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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