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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chernomorets v Rotor Volgograd: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Centralnyy
Chernomorets 32%Draw 28%Rotor Volgograd 40% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.22
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.54 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.54Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.11 – our chance 55% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRotor Volgograd to win ✓40% · @2.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.11
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.11
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.38

Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

14:30 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Chernomorets v Rotor Volgograd in the First League, played at Centralnyy.

Current form

Rotor Volgograd, last 4: WDLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Fakel, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chernomorets 1.1 xG, Rotor Volgograd 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chernomorets 32%, draw 28%, Rotor Volgograd 40%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.11.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.11 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.54). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chernomorets 1–1 Rotor Volgograd. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chernomorets32%fair 3.09 · @2.95
Draw28%fair 3.56 · @2.91
Rotor Volgograd40%fair 2.53 · @2.52
2.30Expected goals
1.08Chernomorets xG
1.22Rotor Volgograd xG
55%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Chernomorets 1.1 – 1.2 Rotor Volgograd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ChernomoretsRotor Volgograd
Attack vs First League average-5%+4%
Goals conceded vs average+10%-17%
Our expected goals here1.181.34

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRotor Volgograd to win ✓40%2.532.52
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.36
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.822.11 ▲
Draw no betRotor Volgograd (draw no bet) ✓55%1.82–
Asian handicapChernomorets +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.561.54
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗62%1.621.41
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.241.11
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
First team to scoreRotor Volgograd to score first48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd ✗23%4.43–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.38–

Recent results

Chernomorets – last 2

WL
7 Marvs Ska-khabarovsk3–0W
1 Marvs Torpedo Moskva0–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Rotor Volgograd – last 4

WDLL
20 Marvs Fakel1–0W
9 Marvs Ural1–1D
18 Febvs Volga Ulyanovsk1–3L
17 Febvs Surkhon0–1L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chernomorets and Rotor Volgograd.

Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.54.

Who will win Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd?

On our numbers Chernomorets have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Rotor Volgograd 40%.

How many goals will there be in Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd?

Our predicted score is Chernomorets 1–1 Rotor Volgograd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd?

Chernomorets vs Rotor Volgograd (First League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Centralnyy.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.