Value bet: Ural to win @ 3.20 – our chance 33% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRodina Moskva to win ✓40% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.40
Rodina Moskva vs Ural: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 29 March: Rodina Moskva v Ural in the First League, played at Arena Khimki.
Current form
Rodina Moskva, last 4: WDWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Chayka, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Ural, last 4: LWDL Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Enisey, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Rodina Moskva, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.0 for Ural.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rodina Moskva 1.2 xG, Ural 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rodina Moskva 40%, draw 26%, Ural 33%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.84.
Price worth noting: Ural to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodina Moskva 1–1 Ural. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rodina Moskva40%fair 2.48 · @2.18
Draw26%fair 3.78 · @3.24
Ural33%fair 3.01 · @3.20
2.46Expected goals
1.25Rodina Moskva xG
1.21Ural xG
51%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Rodina Moskva 1.2 – 1.2 Ural expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Rodina Moskva
Ural
Attack vs First League average
+29%
+24%
Goals conceded vs average
-8%
-37%
Our expected goals here
1.20
1.33
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rodina Moskva to win✓
40%
2.48
2.18
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.84
Draw no bet
Rodina Moskva (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Ural +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.03
First team to score
Rodina Moskva to score first✓
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rodina Moskva / FT Rodina Moskva✓
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.40
–
Recent results
Rodina Moskva – last 4
WDWW
23 Mar
vs Chayka
5–2
W
14 Mar
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–0
W
2 Mar
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–1
W
2.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Ural – last 4
LWDL
22 Mar
vs Enisey
2–4
L
15 Mar
vs Arsenal Tula
2–0
W
9 Mar
@ Rotor Volgograd
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Fakel
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rodina Moskva and Ural.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Rodina Moskva vs Ural?
On our numbers Rodina Moskva have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Ural 33%.
How many goals will there be in Rodina Moskva vs Ural?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rodina Moskva vs Ural?
Our predicted score is Rodina Moskva 1–1 Ural, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Rodina Moskva vs Ural?
Rodina Moskva vs Ural (First League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Chayka2
Chernomorets1
FK Sokol Saratov1