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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chayka v Chelyabinsk: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Chayka Central Stadium
2–1
FT
Chayka 27%Draw 25%Chelyabinsk 48% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.51
72%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.39 · bookmaker 1.32 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.32Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.92 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultChelyabinsk to win ✗48% · @1.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.06

Chayka vs Chelyabinsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Chelyabinsk travel to face Chayka on Sunday 29 March in the First League, with Chayka Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT.

Current form

Chayka, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Rodina Moskva, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Chelyabinsk, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Torpedo Moskva, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chayka 1.2 xG, Chelyabinsk 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chayka 27%, draw 25%, Chelyabinsk 48%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.92.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.92 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (72%, odds 1.32). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chayka 1–1 Chelyabinsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chayka27%fair 3.68 · @3.74
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.54
Chelyabinsk48%fair 2.08 · @1.89
2.74Expected goals
1.23Chayka xG
1.51Chelyabinsk xG
55%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Chayka 1.2 – 1.5 Chelyabinsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ChaykaChelyabinsk
Attack vs First League average-11%+2%
Goals conceded vs average+26%+14%
Our expected goals here1.501.50

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultChelyabinsk to win ✗48%2.081.89
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.26
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.811.92 ▲
Draw no betChelyabinsk (draw no bet) ✗64%1.57–
Asian handicapChayka +1 (Asian handicap) ✓72%1.38–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.32
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.351.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.141.02
First team to scoreChelyabinsk to score first ✓51%1.94–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Chelyabinsk / FT Chelyabinsk ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.06–

Recent results

Chayka – last 3

LWL
23 Mar@ Rodina Moskva2–5L
7 Marvs FK Sokol Saratov1–0W
1 Marvs Ska-khabarovsk1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Chelyabinsk – last 6

LDDWWL
23 Marvs Torpedo Moskva0–1L
15 Mar@ Volga Ulyanovsk2–2D
7 Marvs Spartak Kostroma3–3D
28 Feb@ FK Sokol Saratov1–0W
20 Febvs Zenit 22–1W
17 Febvs Krylia Sovetov2–3L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chayka and Chelyabinsk.

Chayka vs Chelyabinsk head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chayka vs Chelyabinsk?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.32.

Who will win Chayka vs Chelyabinsk?

On our numbers Chayka have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chelyabinsk 48%.

How many goals will there be in Chayka vs Chelyabinsk?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chayka vs Chelyabinsk?

Our predicted score is Chayka 1–1 Chelyabinsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Chayka vs Chelyabinsk?

Chayka vs Chelyabinsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Chayka Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.