Defensor Sporting 42%Draw 26%Albion FC 32%Expected goals 1.27 – 1.13
66%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Albion FC to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDefensor Sporting to win ✗42% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.08
Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 31 March the Primera División Apertura brings Defensor Sporting against Albion FC at Estadio Luis Franzini. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Defensor Sporting are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 13 matches; Albion FC are 12th (lower half) with 13. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Defensor Sporting, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Danubio, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Albion FC, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Wanderers, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Defensor Sporting 1.3 xG, Albion FC 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Defensor Sporting 42%, draw 26%, Albion FC 32%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Albion FC to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Defensor Sporting 1–1 Albion FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Defensor Sporting42%fair 2.36 · @2.08
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.10
Albion FC32%fair 3.16 · @3.50
2.41Expected goals
1.27Defensor Sporting xG
1.13Albion FC xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Defensor Sporting 1.3 – 1.1 Albion FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Defensor Sporting
Albion FC
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-0%
+10%
Goals conceded vs average
+25%
+16%
Our expected goals here
1.49
1.47
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Defensor Sporting to win✗
42%
2.36
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Defensor Sporting (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Albion FC +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Defensor Sporting to score first
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Defensor Sporting / FT Defensor Sporting✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.08
–
Recent results
Defensor Sporting – last 6
DWDLLW
26 Mar
@ Danubio
0–0
D
21 Mar
vs Club Nacional
2–1
W
9 Mar
vs Central Espanol
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
21 Feb
vs Cerro Largo
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Albion FC – last 5
WWLLW
25 Mar
vs Wanderers
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Juventud
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Penarol
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Racing Montevideo
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Cerro
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Defensor Sporting and Albion FC.
What is the prediction for Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC?
On our numbers Defensor Sporting have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Albion FC 32%.
How many goals will there be in Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC?
Our predicted score is Defensor Sporting 1–1 Albion FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC?
Defensor Sporting vs Albion FC (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
