Value bet: Deportivo Maldonado to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✗49% · @2.25
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✗75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.92
Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Central Espanol welcome Deportivo Maldonado to Parque Palermo for a Primera División Apertura fixture on Tuesday 31 March (01:00 WAT). In the table, Central Espanol are 16th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 13 matches; Deportivo Maldonado are 4th (among the top four) with 22. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Central Espanol, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Liverpool Montevideo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportivo Maldonado, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atletico Torque, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Central Espanol 0.9 xG, Deportivo Maldonado 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Central Espanol 25%, draw 27%, Deportivo Maldonado 49%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Maldonado or draw (75%) at 1.33.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Maldonado to win @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 49%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Deportivo Maldonado or draw (75%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Central Espanol 0–1 Deportivo Maldonado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Central Espanol25%fair 4.07 · @3.10
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Deportivo Maldonado49%fair 2.05 · @2.25
2.36Expected goals
0.85Central Espanol xG
1.51Deportivo Maldonado xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Central Espanol 0.9 – 1.5 Deportivo Maldonado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Central Espanol
Deportivo Maldonado
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
-31%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+24%
-23%
Our expected goals here
0.68
1.52
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maldonado to win✗
49%
2.05
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo Maldonado or draw✗
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.85
Draw no bet
Deportivo Maldonado (draw no bet)✗
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
Central Espanol +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Deportivo Maldonado to score first
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maldonado / FT Deportivo Maldonado✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.92
–
Recent results
Central Espanol – last 6
DLDLWW
24 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
3–3
D
15 Mar
vs Cerro Largo
1–3
L
9 Mar
@ Defensor Sporting
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Wanderers
0–1
L
22 Feb
@ Juventud
1–0
W
16 Feb
vs Penarol
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Maldonado – last 5
WLDWL
24 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
1–0
W
20 Mar
@ Cerro Largo
1–3
L
7 Mar
@ Wanderers
0–0
D
3 Mar
vs Juventud
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Penarol
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Central Espanol and Deportivo Maldonado.
What is the prediction for Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our pick is Deportivo Maldonado or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
On our numbers Central Espanol have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Maldonado 49%.
How many goals will there be in Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Our predicted score is Central Espanol 0–1 Deportivo Maldonado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Central Espanol vs Deportivo Maldonado (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Palermo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
