Al Minaa Basra 44%Draw 28%Diyala 29%Expected goals 1.21 – 0.97
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl Minaa Basra to win ✗44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.27
Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Wednesday 18 March: Al Minaa Basra v Diyala in the Iraqi League. In the table, Al Minaa Basra are 9th, upper half, on 17 points after 13 matches; Diyala are 12th (lower half) with 14. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Minaa Basra, last 3: WWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Al Najaf, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Minaa Basra 1.2 xG, Diyala 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Minaa Basra 44%, draw 28%, Diyala 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Diyala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Minaa Basra44%fair 2.28 · @2.00
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.10
Diyala29%fair 3.50 · @3.40
2.17Expected goals
1.21Al Minaa Basra xG
0.97Diyala xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Al Minaa Basra 1.2 – 1.0 Diyala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Minaa Basra to win✗
44%
2.28
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Al Minaa Basra (draw no bet)
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Diyala +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
–
First team to score
Al Minaa Basra to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Minaa Basra / FT Al Minaa Basra✗
24%
4.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.27
–
Recent results
Al Minaa Basra – last 3
WWL
6 Mar
@ Al Najaf
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Al-Karma
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Gharraf
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Diyala – last 1
L
13 Mar
vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Minaa Basra and Diyala.
What is the prediction for Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
On our numbers Al Minaa Basra have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Diyala 29%.
How many goals will there be in Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
Our predicted score is Al Minaa Basra 1–0 Diyala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala?
Al Minaa Basra vs Diyala (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
