Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: Al-Karma to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl-Karma to win ✗38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Zakho vs Al-Karma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Karma travel to face Zakho on Wednesday 18 March in the Iraqi League – the ball rolls at 21:15 WAT. In the table, Zakho are 15th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Al-Karma are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Zakho, last 4: WWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gharraf, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zakho 1.0 xG, Al-Karma 1.3 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zakho 36%, draw 26%, Al-Karma 38%.
Price worth noting: Al-Karma to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zakho 1–1 Al-Karma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zakho36%fair 2.76 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.10
Al-Karma38%fair 2.66 · @3.00
2.29Expected goals
1.03Zakho xG
1.26Al-Karma xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Zakho 1.0 – 1.3 Al-Karma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Karma to win✗
38%
2.66
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
–
Draw no bet
Al-Karma (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Zakho +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Al-Karma to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Karma / FT Al-Karma✗
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.83
–
Recent results
Zakho – last 4
WWWW
26 Feb
vs Gharraf
2–0
W
22 Feb
vs Naft
2–0
W
18 Feb
vs Sitra
3–1
W
14 Feb
@ Erbil
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Al-Karma – last 2
WL
12 Mar
vs Gharraf
3–0
W
1 Mar
@ Al Minaa Basra
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zakho and Al-Karma.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Zakho vs Al-Karma?
On our numbers Zakho have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Al-Karma 38%.
How many goals will there be in Zakho vs Al-Karma?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zakho vs Al-Karma?
Our predicted score is Zakho 1–1 Al-Karma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Zakho vs Al-Karma?
Zakho vs Al-Karma (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
