Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultErbil to win ✓39% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.35
Duhok vs Erbil: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Duhok welcome Erbil to Duhok Stadium for a Iraqi League fixture on Wednesday 18 March (21:15 WAT). In the table, Duhok are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 13 matches; Erbil are 7th (upper half) with 20. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Duhok 1.2 xG, Erbil 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 47%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Duhok 35%, draw 26%, Erbil 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Duhok 1–1 Erbil. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Duhok35%fair 2.89 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.00
Erbil39%fair 2.54 · @2.60
2.51Expected goals
1.19Duhok xG
1.32Erbil xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Duhok 1.2 – 1.3 Erbil expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Erbil to win✓
39%
2.54
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
–
Draw no bet
Erbil (draw no bet)✓
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Duhok +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Erbil to score first✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Erbil / FT Erbil✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.35
–
Recent results
Duhok – last 2
LD
20 Feb
@ Gharraf
3–4
L
13 Feb
vs Mosul
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Erbil – last 1
L
14 Feb
vs Zakho
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Duhok and Erbil.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Duhok vs Erbil?
On our numbers Duhok have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Erbil 39%.
How many goals will there be in Duhok vs Erbil?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Duhok vs Erbil?
Our predicted score is Duhok 1–1 Erbil, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Duhok vs Erbil?
Duhok vs Erbil (Iraqi League) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Duhok Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
