Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPortuguesa to win ✗49% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Portuguesa vs Paysandu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 18 March the Copa Do Brasil brings Portuguesa against Paysandu at Estadio do Caninde. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT.
Current form
Paysandu, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Portuguesa RJ, at home. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portuguesa 1.9 xG, Paysandu 1.2 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 50% for three or more goals, 58% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portuguesa 49%, draw 25%, Paysandu 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portuguesa 1–1 Paysandu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portuguesa49%fair 2.04 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.10
Paysandu26%fair 3.89 · @3.40
3.11Expected goals
1.90Portuguesa xG
1.21Paysandu xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
3–16%
From our goals model: Portuguesa 1.9 – 1.2 Paysandu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa to win✗
49%
2.04
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Draw no bet
Portuguesa (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Paysandu +1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.44 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
First team to score
Portuguesa to score first✓
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Portuguesa ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa / FT Portuguesa✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Portuguesa – last 2
WW
27 Feb
vs Altos
5–1
W
16 Feb
@ Mirassol
2–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Paysandu – last 3
WWW
12 Mar
vs Portuguesa RJ
3–1
W
22 Feb
vs Castanhal
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Tuna Luso
5–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portuguesa and Paysandu.
What is the prediction for Portuguesa vs Paysandu?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Portuguesa vs Paysandu?
On our numbers Portuguesa have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Paysandu 26%.
How many goals will there be in Portuguesa vs Paysandu?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portuguesa vs Paysandu?
Our predicted score is Portuguesa 1–1 Paysandu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Portuguesa vs Paysandu?
Portuguesa vs Paysandu (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio do Caninde.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Londrina0
Operario-PR1
Sport Recife1
Athletic Club3
Vila Nova0
Confiança0