Sport Recife vs Athletic Club: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Athletic Club travel to face Sport Recife on Wednesday 18 March in the Copa Do Brasil, with Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sport Recife 1.6 xG, Athletic Club 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sport Recife 56%, draw 25%, Athletic Club 20%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sport Recife 1–1 Athletic Club. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sport Recife56%fair 1.80 · @1.58
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.65
Athletic Club20%fair 5.08 · @5.50
2.63Expected goals
1.63Sport Recife xG
1.00Athletic Club xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 1.6 – 1.0 Athletic Club expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✗
56%
1.80
1.58
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.83 ▲
Draw no bet
Sport Recife (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Athletic Club +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Sport Recife to score first✗
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✗
32%
3.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Recent results
Sport Recife
No recent results on record.
Athletic Club – last 2
WD
11 Mar
vs Ypiranga-RS
2–0
W
14 Feb
vs Tombense
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Recife and Athletic Club.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Athletic Club 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 1–1 Athletic Club, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Athletic Club?
Sport Recife vs Athletic Club (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Londrina0
Operario-PR1
Portuguesa2
Paysandu3
Vila Nova0
Confiança0