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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vila Nova v Confiança: numbers & prediction

Copa Do Brasil · Brazil · Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga

Vila Nova

LDW
0–0
–Pens 3–5

Confiança

WL
Vila Nova 58%Draw 25%Confiança 17% Expected goals 1.58 – 0.68
65%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.45 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1

Value bet: Vila Nova to win @ 1.88 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultVila Nova to win ✗58% · @1.88
Double chanceVila Nova or draw ✓83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.05

Vila Nova vs Confiança: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Vila Nova welcome Confiança to Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga for a Copa Do Brasil fixture on Wednesday 18 March (23:00 WAT).

Current form

Vila Nova, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Atletico Goianiense, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vila Nova 1.6 xG, Confiança 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vila Nova 58%, draw 25%, Confiança 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vila Nova or draw (83%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Vila Nova to win @1.88 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vila Nova 2–0 Confiança. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vila Nova58%fair 1.72 · @1.88
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.10
Confiança17%fair 5.94 · @4.30
2.26Expected goals
1.58Vila Nova xG
0.68Confiança xG
49%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Vila Nova 1.6 – 0.7 Confiança expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVila Nova to win ✗58%1.721.88 ▲
Double chanceVila Nova or draw ✓83%1.201.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.971.67
Draw no betVila Nova (draw no bet)78%1.29–
Asian handicapConfiança +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗65%1.541.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓61%1.651.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreVila Nova to score first ✗63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vila Nova / FT Vila Nova ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%6.05–

Recent results

Vila Nova – last 3

LDW
22 Feb@ Atletico Goianiense0–2L
16 Febvs Anápolis2–2D
13 Feb@ Anápolis2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Confiança – last 2

WL
12 Marvs Tombense2–0W
26 Febvs AO Itabaiana1–2L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vila Nova and Confiança.

Vila Nova vs Confiança head-to-head page →

More Copa Do Brasil predictions

League hub
FT Londrina0 Operario-PR1 137%2.52X27%2.82236%2.95 1.1–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 65%@1.48 ✗
FT Portuguesa2 Paysandu3 149%2.10X25%3.10226%3.40 1.9–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.44 ✓
FT Sport Recife1 Athletic Club3 156%1.58X25%3.65220%5.50 1.6–1.0xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vila Nova vs Confiança?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Vila Nova vs Confiança?

On our numbers Vila Nova have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Confiança 17%.

How many goals will there be in Vila Nova vs Confiança?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vila Nova vs Confiança?

Our predicted score is Vila Nova 2–0 Confiança, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Vila Nova vs Confiança?

Vila Nova vs Confiança (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.