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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Adama Kenema v Mebrat Hayl: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
0–1
FT
Adama Kenema 31%Draw 34%Mebrat Hayl 35% Expected goals 0.75 – 0.76
69%
Betarazi pick

Mebrat Hayl or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.35Odds

Picks by market

ResultMebrat Hayl to win ✓35% · @2.55
Double chanceMebrat Hayl or draw ✓69% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓64% · fair 1.56
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓17% · fair 5.96

Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 14 April the Premier League brings Adama Kenema against Mebrat Hayl. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT. In the table, Adama Kenema are 10th, lower half, on 6 points after 5 matches; Mebrat Hayl are 8th (upper half) with 7. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Adama Kenema, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Bahardar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Mebrat Hayl, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Kedus Giorgis, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Mebrat Hayl, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Adama Kenema.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Adama Kenema 0.7 xG, Mebrat Hayl 0.8 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Adama Kenema 31%, draw 34%, Mebrat Hayl 35%.
  • Lower-risk option: Mebrat Hayl or draw (69%) at 1.35.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Mebrat Hayl or draw (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Adama Kenema 0–0 Mebrat Hayl. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Adama Kenema31%fair 3.20 · @2.95
Draw34%fair 2.96 · @2.60
Mebrat Hayl35%fair 2.86 · @2.55
1.51Expected goals
0.75Adama Kenema xG
0.76Mebrat Hayl xG
36%Both score
19%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–022%
0–117%
1–017%
1–113%
0–26%
2–06%

From our goals model: Adama Kenema 0.7 – 0.8 Mebrat Hayl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMebrat Hayl to win ✓35%2.862.55
Double chanceMebrat Hayl or draw ✓69%1.451.35
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓64%1.56–
Draw no betMebrat Hayl (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapAdama Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓51%1.971.95
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓93%1.07–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
First team to scoreMebrat Hayl to score first ✓39%2.56–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗57%1.74–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗29%3.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓17%5.96–

Recent results

Adama Kenema – last 6

LLLDDW
10 Apr@ Bahardar1–2L
5 Aprvs Negelle Arsi1–2L
10 Marvs Arba Minch Kenema0–2L
5 Mar@ Hadiya Hosaena1–1D
26 Febvs Sheger Ketema3–3D
21 Feb@ Ethiopian Medhin1–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Mebrat Hayl – last 6

LDWWWL
8 Apr@ Kedus Giorgis1–2L
3 Aprvs Bahardar0–0D
15 Mar@ Negelle Arsi2–0W
8 Marvs Ethiopia Bunna2–1W
4 Mar@ Arba Minch Kenema4–1W
27 Febvs Hadiya Hosaena0–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Adama Kenema and Mebrat Hayl.

Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Our pick is Mebrat Hayl or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

On our numbers Adama Kenema have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Mebrat Hayl 35%.

How many goals will there be in Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 36% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Our predicted score is Adama Kenema 0–0 Mebrat Hayl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.

When is Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl?

Adama Kenema vs Mebrat Hayl (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.