Value bet: Hadiya Hosaena to win @ 3.75 – our chance 31% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗38% · @2.05
Double chanceEthiopia Bunna or draw ✓69% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.08
Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 14 April the Premier League brings Hadiya Hosaena against Ethiopia Bunna. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Hadiya Hosaena are 13th, lower half, on 4 points after 4 matches; Ethiopia Bunna are 14th (lower half) with 4. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Hadiya Hosaena, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Arba Minch Kenema, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Ethiopia Bunna, last 4: DLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sheger Ketema, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hadiya Hosaena 1.0 xG, Ethiopia Bunna 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hadiya Hosaena 31%, draw 31%, Ethiopia Bunna 38%.
Lower-risk option: Ethiopia Bunna or draw (69%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Hadiya Hosaena to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Ethiopia Bunna or draw (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hadiya Hosaena 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hadiya Hosaena31%fair 3.25 · @3.75
Draw31%fair 3.22 · @2.62
Ethiopia Bunna38%fair 2.62 · @2.05
1.89Expected goals
0.95Hadiya Hosaena xG
0.94Ethiopia Bunna xG
49%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–014%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Hadiya Hosaena 1.0 – 0.9 Ethiopia Bunna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ethiopia Bunna to win✗
38%
2.62
2.05
Double chance
Ethiopia Bunna or draw✓
69%
1.45
1.22
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
1.50
Draw no bet
Ethiopia Bunna (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Ethiopia Bunna +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.77
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.05
–
First team to score
Hadiya Hosaena to score first
43%
2.33
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.08
–
Recent results
Hadiya Hosaena – last 6
WLLDDW
9 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Sheger Ketema
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Adama Kenema
1–1
D
27 Feb
@ Mebrat Hayl
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Ethiopia Bunna – last 4
DLWW
8 Apr
vs Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
8 Mar
@ Mebrat Hayl
1–2
L
4 Mar
vs Bahardar
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Negelle Arsi
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hadiya Hosaena and Ethiopia Bunna.
What is the prediction for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our pick is Ethiopia Bunna or draw with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?
On our numbers Hadiya Hosaena have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Ethiopia Bunna 38%.
How many goals will there be in Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Our predicted score is Hadiya Hosaena 0–0 Ethiopia Bunna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Hadiya Hosaena vs Ethiopia Bunna (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
