Value bet: Welayta Dicha to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultWelayta Dicha to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceWelayta Dicha or draw ✗75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.39
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.54
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fasil Ketema travel to face Welayta Dicha on Tuesday 14 April in the Premier League – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Welayta Dicha are 3rd, among the top four, on 8 points after 5 matches; Fasil Ketema are 15th (lower half) with 3.
Current form
Welayta Dicha, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Welwalo Adigrat Uni, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Fasil Ketema, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Awassa Kenema, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Welayta Dicha, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Fasil Ketema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Welayta Dicha 1.1 xG, Fasil Ketema 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Welayta Dicha 44%, draw 31%, Fasil Ketema 25%.
Lower-risk option: Welayta Dicha or draw (75%) at 1.30.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Welayta Dicha to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Welayta Dicha or draw (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Welayta Dicha 1–0 Fasil Ketema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Welayta Dicha44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
Draw31%fair 3.21 · @2.45
Fasil Ketema25%fair 3.96 · @3.10
1.85Expected goals
1.15Welayta Dicha xG
0.70Fasil Ketema xG
47%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–016%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Welayta Dicha 1.1 – 0.7 Fasil Ketema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Welayta Dicha to win✗
44%
2.29
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Welayta Dicha or draw✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Draw no bet
Welayta Dicha (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Fasil Ketema +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Welayta Dicha to score first✗
52%
1.91
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Welayta Dicha / FT Welayta Dicha✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.54
–
Recent results
Welayta Dicha – last 6
WDDWDW
9 Apr
@ Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Mekelle Kenema
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Sidama Bunna
3–1
W
4 Mar
vs Awassa Kenema
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Fasil Ketema – last 6
WDDDLL
9 Apr
vs Awassa Kenema
1–0
W
3 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
0–0
D
13 Mar
vs Mekelakeya
0–0
D
9 Mar
@ Suhul Shire
1–1
D
4 Mar
@ Sidama Bunna
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Welayta Dicha and Fasil Ketema.
What is the prediction for Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
Our pick is Welayta Dicha or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
On our numbers Welayta Dicha have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Fasil Ketema 25%.
How many goals will there be in Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
Our predicted score is Welayta Dicha 1–0 Fasil Ketema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
