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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Ethiopia Bunna v Arba Minch Kenema: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Ethiopia
1–1
FT
Ethiopia Bunna 40%Draw 28%Arba Minch Kenema 32% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.06
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.98

Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 19 April the Premier League brings Ethiopia Bunna against Arba Minch Kenema. Kick-off: 11:00 WAT.

Current form

Ethiopia Bunna, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hadiya Hosaena, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Arba Minch Kenema, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kedus Giorgis, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Ethiopia Bunna 1.2 xG, Arba Minch Kenema 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 44%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Ethiopia Bunna 40%, draw 28%, Arba Minch Kenema 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 Arba Minch Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Ethiopia Bunna40%fair 2.47 · @2.25
Draw28%fair 3.59 · @2.88
Arba Minch Kenema32%fair 3.15 · @3.00
2.27Expected goals
1.21Ethiopia Bunna xG
1.06Arba Minch Kenema xG
44%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 1.2 – 1.1 Arba Minch Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEthiopia Bunna to win ✗40%2.472.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72%1.391.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗56%1.80–
Draw no betEthiopia Bunna (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapArba Minch Kenema +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.621.57
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.09–
First team to scoreEthiopia Bunna to score first ✓48%2.09–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.15–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ethiopia Bunna / FT Ethiopia Bunna ✗23%4.44–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.98–

Recent results

Ethiopia Bunna – last 5

DDLWW
14 Apr@ Hadiya Hosaena2–2D
8 Aprvs Sheger Ketema1–1D
8 Mar@ Mebrat Hayl1–2L
4 Marvs Bahardar2–0W
26 Feb@ Negelle Arsi1–0W
1.4Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Arba Minch Kenema – last 6

DLWWLW
13 Aprvs Kedus Giorgis2–2D
9 Aprvs Hadiya Hosaena0–1L
3 Apr@ Sheger Ketema2–1W
10 Mar@ Adama Kenema2–0W
4 Marvs Mebrat Hayl1–4L
27 Feb@ Bahardar2–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Ethiopia Bunna and Arba Minch Kenema.

Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Negelle Arsi5320+511
2Mekelakeya5311+310
3Welayta Dicha5221+68
4Ethiopia Nigd Bank522108
5Halaba Ketema5221-48
6Ethiopian Medhin4211+27
7Bahardar4211+27
8Mebrat Hayl521207
9Kedus Giorgis513106
10Adama Kenema513106
11Awassa Kenema412105
12Sheger Ketema5122-15
13Hadiya Hosaena4112-14
14Ethiopia Bunna5113-44
15Fasil Ketema4031-13
16Sidama Bunna2011-11
17Welwalo Adigrat Uni2011-21
18Gamo Chencha4013-41

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema?

On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Arba Minch Kenema 32%.

How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 Arba Minch Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema?

Ethiopia Bunna vs Arba Minch Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.