Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: Mekelakeya to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMekelakeya to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · fair 1.68
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.52
Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Premier League brings Mekelakeya against Awassa Kenema. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Mekelakeya are 2nd, among the top four, on 10 points after 5 matches; Awassa Kenema are 11th (lower half) with 5.
Current form
Mekelakeya, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Dire Dawa Kenema, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Awassa Kenema, last 5: DLDWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Suhul Shire, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Mekelakeya, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Awassa Kenema.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mekelakeya 1.2 xG, Awassa Kenema 0.9 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mekelakeya 39%, draw 29%, Awassa Kenema 33%.
Price worth noting: Mekelakeya to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mekelakeya 1–0 Awassa Kenema. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mekelakeya39%fair 2.58 · @3.00
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.90
Awassa Kenema33%fair 3.07 · @2.30
2.02Expected goals
1.15Mekelakeya xG
0.86Awassa Kenema xG
40%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Mekelakeya 1.2 – 0.9 Awassa Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mekelakeya to win✗
39%
2.58
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
71%
1.40
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
–
Draw no bet
Mekelakeya (draw no bet)
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Awassa Kenema +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Mekelakeya to score first✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mekelakeya / FT Mekelakeya✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.52
–
Recent results
Mekelakeya – last 6
WWDDDW
15 Apr
@ Dire Dawa Kenema
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Sidama Bunna
3–1
W
3 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
1–1
D
13 Mar
@ Fasil Ketema
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Awassa Kenema – last 6
DLDWDD
15 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–2
D
10 Mar
vs Mekelle Kenema
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ Welayta Dicha
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Dire Dawa Kenema
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mekelakeya and Awassa Kenema.
What is the prediction for Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema?
On our numbers Mekelakeya have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Awassa Kenema 33%.
How many goals will there be in Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema?
Our predicted score is Mekelakeya 1–0 Awassa Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema?
Mekelakeya vs Awassa Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arba Minch Kenema1
Dire Dawa Kenema0