Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.62
Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the Premier League brings Negelle Arsi against Hadiya Hosaena. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Negelle Arsi are 1st, leading the league, on 11 points after 5 matches; Hadiya Hosaena are 13th (lower half) with 4.
Current form
Negelle Arsi, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sheger Ketema, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Hadiya Hosaena, last 5: DWLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Ethiopia Bunna, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Negelle Arsi 1.2 xG, Hadiya Hosaena 0.7 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Negelle Arsi 46%, draw 29%, Hadiya Hosaena 26%.
Lower-risk option: Negelle Arsi or draw (74%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Negelle Arsi or draw (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Negelle Arsi 1–0 Hadiya Hosaena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Negelle Arsi46%fair 2.19 · @2.10
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @2.90
Hadiya Hosaena26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
1.88Expected goals
1.16Negelle Arsi xG
0.71Hadiya Hosaena xG
46%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
0–015%
1–113%
0–111%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Negelle Arsi 1.2 – 0.7 Hadiya Hosaena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Negelle Arsi to win✗
46%
2.19
2.10
Double chance
Negelle Arsi or draw✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.55
Draw no bet
Negelle Arsi (draw no bet)
64%
1.56
–
Asian handicap
Hadiya Hosaena +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
Negelle Arsi to score first
52%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Negelle Arsi / FT Negelle Arsi✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.62
–
Recent results
Negelle Arsi – last 6
DDWLDD
13 Apr
@ Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
9 Apr
vs Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Adama Kenema
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Mebrat Hayl
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Bahardar
0–0
D
3 Mar
@ Kedus Giorgis
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hadiya Hosaena – last 6
DWLLDD
14 Apr
vs Ethiopia Bunna
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
13 Mar
vs Sheger Ketema
0–2
L
9 Mar
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Adama Kenema
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Negelle Arsi and Hadiya Hosaena.
What is the prediction for Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Our pick is Negelle Arsi or draw with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena?
On our numbers Negelle Arsi have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Hadiya Hosaena 26%.
How many goals will there be in Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Our predicted score is Negelle Arsi 1–0 Hadiya Hosaena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena?
Negelle Arsi vs Hadiya Hosaena (Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Arba Minch Kenema1
Dire Dawa Kenema0