Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.35 – our chance 53% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVitoria to win ✓63% · @1.18
Double chanceVitoria or draw ✓84% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.35
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18
Vitoria vs Piauí: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Piauí travel to face Vitoria on Thursday 16 April in the Copa Do Nordeste, with Barradao the venue – the ball rolls at 01:30 WAT.
Current form
Vitoria, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Juazeirense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Piauí, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Fluminense PI, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitoria 1.8 xG, Piauí 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitoria 63%, draw 21%, Piauí 16%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.35.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitoria 1–1 Piauí. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitoria63%fair 1.60 · @1.18
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @5.40
Piauí16%fair 6.09 · @15.00
2.76Expected goals
1.78Vitoria xG
0.98Piauí xG
53%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Vitoria 1.8 – 1.0 Piauí expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Vitoria to win✓
63%
1.60
1.18
Double chance
Vitoria or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.35 ▲
Draw no bet
Vitoria (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Piauí +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
Vitoria to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Vitoria ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Vitoria / FT Vitoria✓
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Vitoria – last 6
WDLLLD
8 Apr
vs Juazeirense
4–1
W
5 Apr
@ Chapecoense-sc
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ Cruzeiro
0–3
L
25 Mar
vs Botafogo PB
1–2
L
19 Mar
@ Gremio
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Bahia
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Piauí – last 5
LLWLW
8 Apr
@ Fluminense PI
0–2
L
24 Mar
@ ASA
0–1
L
18 Mar
vs Atlético Piauiense
1–0
W
19 Feb
@ Betim
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Oeirense
2–1
W
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitoria and Piauí.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Vitoria vs Piauí?
On our numbers Vitoria have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Piauí 16%.
How many goals will there be in Vitoria vs Piauí?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitoria vs Piauí?
Our predicted score is Vitoria 1–1 Piauí, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Vitoria vs Piauí?
Vitoria vs Piauí (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Barradao.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Barradao
Sport Recife5
Maranhão0
America-RN1
Fortaleza EC1