AEL vs Ethnikos Achna: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AEL welcome Ethnikos Achna to Alphamega Stadium for a 1. Division fixture on Sunday 22 March (15:00 WAT).
Current form
AEL, last 3: LWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Apollon Limassol, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Ethnikos Achna, last 3: LLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AEK Larnaca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEL 1.5 xG, Ethnikos Achna 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEL 43%, draw 25%, Ethnikos Achna 32%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEL 1–1 Ethnikos Achna. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEL43%fair 2.34 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.30
Ethnikos Achna32%fair 3.10 · @3.20
2.76Expected goals
1.46AEL xG
1.31Ethnikos Achna xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: AEL 1.5 – 1.3 Ethnikos Achna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEL to win✗
43%
2.34
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.67
Draw no bet
AEL (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Ethnikos Achna +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
First team to score
AEL to score first✗
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEL / FT AEL✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
AEL – last 3
LWL
8 Mar
@ Apollon Limassol
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Enosis
2–0
W
15 Feb
vs Pafos
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ethnikos Achna – last 3
LLW
16 Mar
vs AEK Larnaca
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Apollon Limassol
0–1
L
15 Feb
vs Apoel Nicosia
3–2
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEL and Ethnikos Achna.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
On our numbers AEL have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ethnikos Achna 32%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
Our predicted score is AEL 1–1 Ethnikos Achna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Ethnikos Achna?
AEL vs Ethnikos Achna (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
