Pafos vs Apollon Limassol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Sunday 22 March: Pafos v Apollon Limassol in the 1. Division, played at Stelios Kyriakidis. In the table, Pafos are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 9 matches; Apollon Limassol are 5th (upper half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pafos, last 3: DDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Aris, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Apollon Limassol, last 4: DWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Anorthosis, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pafos 1.4 xG, Apollon Limassol 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pafos 49%, draw 26%, Apollon Limassol 25%.
Lower-risk option: Pafos or draw (75%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pafos 1–1 Apollon Limassol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pafos49%fair 2.05 · @1.85
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.35
Apollon Limassol25%fair 3.96 · @3.75
2.60Expected goals
1.44Pafos xG
1.15Apollon Limassol xG
58%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pafos 1.4 – 1.2 Apollon Limassol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✗
49%
2.05
1.85
Double chance
Pafos or draw✓
75%
1.34
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Pafos (draw no bet)
66%
1.52
–
Asian handicap
Apollon Limassol +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Pafos to score first
51%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✗
26%
3.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.16
–
Recent results
Pafos – last 3
DDW
1 Mar
@ Aris
2–2
D
21 Feb
vs Anorthosis
0–0
D
15 Feb
@ AEL
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Apollon Limassol – last 4
DWDW
15 Mar
@ Anorthosis
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs AEL
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Ethnikos Achna
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pafos and Apollon Limassol.
What is the prediction for Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
On our numbers Pafos have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Apollon Limassol 25%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
Our predicted score is Pafos 1–1 Apollon Limassol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs Apollon Limassol?
Pafos vs Apollon Limassol (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakidis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ethnikos Achna1