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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cienciano v Atletico-MG: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega

Cienciano

LWWDW
1–0
FT

Atletico-MG

WWLLW
Cienciano 46%Draw 27%Atletico-MG 27% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.20
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultCienciano to win ✓46% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74

Cienciano vs Atletico-MG: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 30 April the CONMEBOL Sudamericana brings Cienciano against Atletico-MG at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Kick-off: 01:30 WAT. In the table, Cienciano are 2nd on 8 points after 6 matches; Atletico-MG are 1st with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Cienciano, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Club Deportivo Los Chankas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Atletico-MG, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Ceara, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cienciano 1.3 xG, Atletico-MG 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cienciano 46%, draw 27%, Atletico-MG 27%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cienciano 1–1 Atletico-MG. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cienciano46%fair 2.18 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.40
Atletico-MG27%fair 3.68 · @4.00
2.54Expected goals
1.34Cienciano xG
1.20Atletico-MG xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Cienciano 1.3 – 1.2 Atletico-MG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCienciano to win ✓46%2.181.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.971.85
Draw no betCienciano (draw no bet) ✓63%1.59–
Asian handicapAtletico-MG +1 (Asian handicap)76%1.31–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.871.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.08
First team to scoreCienciano to score first ✓49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cienciano / FT Cienciano ✓23%4.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.74–

Recent results

Cienciano – last 6

LWWDWW
23 Apr@ Club Deportivo Los Chankas0–1L
20 Aprvs UCV Moquegua2–1W
17 Aprvs Puerto Cabello2–0W
9 Apr@ Juventud1–1D
4 Aprvs ADT3–2W
21 Marvs FC Cajamarca3–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Atletico-MG – last 6

WWLLWW
23 Aprvs Ceara2–1W
16 Aprvs Juventud2–1W
12 Apr@ Santos0–1L
9 Apr@ Puerto Cabello1–2L
2 Apr@ Chapecoense-sc4–0W
19 Marvs Sao Paulo1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cienciano and Atletico-MG.

Cienciano vs Atletico-MG head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico-MG6312+210
2Cienciano6222-28
3Juventud6141+37
4Puerto Cabello6213-37

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Palestino0 Gremio0 133%3.20X28%3.00239%2.35 1.0–1.1xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 64%@1.53 ✓
FT Carabobo FC2 Blooming0 162%1.65X23%3.70215%5.20 1.8–0.7xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.30 ✓
FT Vasco DA Gama3 Olimpia0 150%1.85X26%3.45224%4.20 1.3–0.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cienciano vs Atletico-MG?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cienciano vs Atletico-MG?

On our numbers Cienciano have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atletico-MG 27%.

How many goals will there be in Cienciano vs Atletico-MG?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cienciano vs Atletico-MG?

Our predicted score is Cienciano 1–1 Atletico-MG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Cienciano vs Atletico-MG?

Cienciano vs Atletico-MG (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.