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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Barcelona SC v Boca Juniors: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha
1–0
FT
Barcelona SC 20%Draw 28%Boca Juniors 52% Expected goals 0.75 – 1.30
80%
Betarazi pick

Boca Juniors or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultBoca Juniors to win ✗52% · @1.92
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✗80% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.99

Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Boca Juniors travel to face Barcelona SC on Wednesday 6 May in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Barcelona SC are 4th on 3 points after 6 matches; Boca Juniors are 3rd with 7.

Current form

Barcelona SC, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Manta FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Boca Juniors, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cruzeiro, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Boca Juniors, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Barcelona SC.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Boca Juniors 3–0 Barcelona SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Barcelona SC 0.8 xG, Boca Juniors 1.3 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Barcelona SC 20%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 52%.
  • Lower-risk option: Boca Juniors or draw (80%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Boca Juniors or draw (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barcelona SC 0–1 Boca Juniors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Barcelona SC20%fair 5.02 · @4.10
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.30
Boca Juniors52%fair 1.92 · @1.92
2.05Expected goals
0.75Barcelona SC xG
1.30Boca Juniors xG
47%Both score
35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–013%
1–113%
0–211%
1–010%
1–28%

From our goals model: Barcelona SC 0.8 – 1.3 Boca Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultBoca Juniors to win ✗52%1.921.92
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✗80%1.251.20
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.881.57
Draw no betBoca Juniors (draw no bet) ✗72%1.38–
Asian handicapBarcelona SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗61%1.631.53
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓65%1.531.48
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.081.04
First team to scoreBoca Juniors to score first ✗55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Boca Juniors / FT Boca Juniors ✗29%3.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17%5.99–

Recent results

Barcelona SC – last 6

DLDWLL
3 Mayvs Manta FC1–1D
30 Aprvs U. Catolica1–2L
27 Apr@ Orense SC1–1D
23 Aprvs Mushuc Runa SC2–1W
20 Apr@ Macara1–3L
15 Apr@ Boca Juniors0–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Boca Juniors – last 6

LWWDWW
29 Apr@ Cruzeiro0–1L
24 Apr@ Defensa Y Justicia4–0W
15 Aprvs Barcelona SC3–0W
11 Aprvs Independiente1–1D
8 Apr@ U. Catolica2–1W
3 Apr@ Talleres Cordoba1–0W
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Apr 2026Boca Juniors v Barcelona SC3–0
Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica6411+413
2Cruzeiro6321+511
3Boca Juniors6213+17
4Barcelona SC6105-103

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors?

Our pick is Boca Juniors or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors?

On our numbers Barcelona SC have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Boca Juniors 52%.

How many goals will there be in Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors?

Our predicted score is Barcelona SC 0–1 Boca Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors?

Barcelona SC vs Boca Juniors (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Monumental Banco Pichincha.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.