Deportivo La Guaira 34%Draw 27%Bolívar 40%Expected goals 1.16 – 1.28
78%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultBolívar to win ✗40% · @2.58
Double chanceEither team to win ✗73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.07
Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Wednesday 6 May: Deportivo La Guaira v Bolívar in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. In the table, Deportivo La Guaira are 4th on 3 points after 6 matches; Bolívar are 3rd with 5. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportivo La Guaira, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Puerto Cabello, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Bolívar, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fluminense, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Apr 2026) it ended Bolívar 1–1 Deportivo La Guaira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Guaira 1.2 xG, Bolívar 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Guaira 34%, draw 27%, Bolívar 40%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Bolívar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo La Guaira34%fair 2.96 · @2.80
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Bolívar40%fair 2.53 · @2.58
2.44Expected goals
1.16Deportivo La Guaira xG
1.28Bolívar xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.2 – 1.3 Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Bolívar 40%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–1 Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar?
Deportivo La Guaira vs Bolívar (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 6 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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