Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 51% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBoca Juniors to win ✗52% · @1.92
Double chanceBoca Juniors or draw ✓78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.03
Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Wednesday 20 May: Boca Juniors v Cruzeiro in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Alberto Jose Armando. In the table, Boca Juniors are 3rd on 7 points after 6 matches; Cruzeiro are 2nd with 11.
Current form
Boca Juniors, last 5: DLLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Huracan, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Cruzeiro, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Palmeiras, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Cruzeiro, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Boca Juniors.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Cruzeiro 1–0 Boca Juniors.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boca Juniors 1.3 xG, Cruzeiro 0.8 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Juniors 52%, draw 26%, Cruzeiro 22%.
Lower-risk option: Boca Juniors or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Boca Juniors or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Juniors 1–0 Cruzeiro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boca Juniors52%fair 1.94 · @1.92
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @3.30
Cruzeiro22%fair 4.48 · @4.10
2.11Expected goals
1.31Boca Juniors xG
0.80Cruzeiro xG
51%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
1–113%
0–012%
2–010%
0–110%
2–18%
From our goals model: Boca Juniors 1.3 – 0.8 Cruzeiro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
Our pick is Boca Juniors or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
On our numbers Boca Juniors have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Cruzeiro 22%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
Our predicted score is Boca Juniors 1–0 Cruzeiro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro?
Boca Juniors vs Cruzeiro (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Alberto Jose Armando.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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