Santa Fe 43%Draw 28%Platense 29%Expected goals 1.29 – 0.94
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Platense to win @ 3.75 – our chance 29% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanta Fe to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.22
Santa Fe vs Platense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Platense travel to face Santa Fe on Wednesday 20 May in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, with Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin the venue – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Santa Fe are 3rd on 8 points after 6 matches; Platense are 2nd with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Santa Fe, last 5: DWDDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Junior, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Platense, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Penarol, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Platense 2–1 Santa Fe.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 1.3 xG, Platense 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 37%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 43%, draw 28%, Platense 29%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Platense to win @3.75 – the bookmaker implies 27%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 1–1 Platense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Fe43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.05
Platense29%fair 3.48 · @3.75
2.23Expected goals
1.29Santa Fe xG
0.94Platense xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.3 – 0.9 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Platense?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Platense 29%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Platense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Platense?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–1 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Platense?
Santa Fe vs Platense (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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