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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Coquimbo Unido v Deportes Tolima: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Coquimbo Unido

WWWLW
3–0
FT

Deportes Tolima

LWWWW
Coquimbo Unido 44%Draw 27%Deportes Tolima 29% Expected goals 1.34 – 0.96
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultCoquimbo Unido to win ✓44% · @2.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.43

Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 19 May the CONMEBOL Libertadores brings Coquimbo Unido against Deportes Tolima at Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Coquimbo Unido are 1st on 10 points after 6 matches; Deportes Tolima are 2nd with 8. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Coquimbo Unido, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over A. Italiano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Deportes Tolima, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Atletico Nacional, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Deportes Tolima 3–0 Coquimbo Unido.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Coquimbo Unido 1.3 xG, Deportes Tolima 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Coquimbo Unido 44%, draw 27%, Deportes Tolima 29%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Deportes Tolima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Coquimbo Unido44%fair 2.27 · @2.18
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.20
Deportes Tolima29%fair 3.45 · @3.35
2.30Expected goals
1.34Coquimbo Unido xG
0.96Deportes Tolima xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Coquimbo Unido 1.3 – 1.0 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCoquimbo Unido to win ✓44%2.272.18
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.83
Draw no betCoquimbo Unido (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapDeportes Tolima +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.491.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.271.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.07
First team to scoreCoquimbo Unido to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Coquimbo Unido / FT Coquimbo Unido ✓27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.43–

Recent results

Coquimbo Unido – last 6

WWWLWD
16 Mayvs A. Italiano3–0W
14 Mayvs Colo Colo1–0W
8 Mayvs Universitario2–1W
29 Apr@ Deportes Tolima0–3L
15 Apr@ Universitario2–0W
8 Aprvs Club Nacional1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Deportes Tolima – last 6

LWWWWL
17 Mayvs Atletico Nacional0–1L
14 May@ Deportivo Pasto2–0W
10 Mayvs Deportivo Pasto1–0W
7 Mayvs Club Nacional3–0W
29 Aprvs Coquimbo Unido3–0W
24 Apr@ Millonarios0–2L
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Deportes Tolima v Coquimbo Unido3–0
Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo Unido6312+210
2Deportes Tolima6222+18
3Club Nacional6222-28
4Universitario6132-16

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

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FT Fluminense2 Bolívar1 163%1.22X20%5.60217%14.50 1.6–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✓
FT Rosario Central4 UCV0 170%1.17X19%6.40211%17.50 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima?

On our numbers Coquimbo Unido have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportes Tolima 29%.

How many goals will there be in Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima?

Our predicted score is Coquimbo Unido 1–0 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima?

Coquimbo Unido vs Deportes Tolima (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.