Wednesday 11 November 2026 21 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rosario Central v UCV: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Gigante de Arroyito

Rosario Central

LDWWW
4–0
FT

UCV

DDWWL
Rosario Central 70%Draw 19%UCV 11% Expected goals 1.95 – 0.72
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.55 – our chance 50% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultRosario Central to win ✓70% · @1.17
Double chanceRosario Central or draw ✓89% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.57

Rosario Central vs UCV: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Rosario Central welcome UCV to Gigante de Arroyito for a CONMEBOL Libertadores fixture on Tuesday 19 May (23:00 WAT). In the table, Rosario Central are 2nd on 13 points after 6 matches; UCV are 3rd with 9.

Current form

Rosario Central, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to River Plate, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.

UCV, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Deportivo La Guaira, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rosario Central, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for UCV.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended UCV 0–3 Rosario Central.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rosario Central 2.0 xG, UCV 0.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rosario Central 70%, draw 19%, UCV 11%.
  • GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.55.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.55 – the bookmaker implies 39%, our ratings say 50%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rosario Central 2–0 UCV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rosario Central70%fair 1.42 · @1.17
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @6.40
UCV11%fair 9.22 · @17.50
2.67Expected goals
1.95Rosario Central xG
0.72UCV xG
50%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%

From our goals model: Rosario Central 2.0 – 0.7 UCV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRosario Central to win ✓70%1.421.17
Double chanceRosario Central or draw ✓89%1.121.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗50%1.992.55 ▲
Draw no betRosario Central (draw no bet) ✓87%1.15–
Asian handicapRosario Central -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.301.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.491.50
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.20
First team to scoreRosario Central to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultRosario Central ahead at half-time ✓47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rosario Central / FT Rosario Central ✓43%2.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.57–

Recent results

Rosario Central – last 6

LDWWWW
16 May@ River Plate0–1L
13 Mayvs Racing Club1–1D
5 Mayvs Libertad Asuncion1–0W
29 Apr@ UCV3–0W
24 Apr@ Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–1W
20 Aprvs Sarmiento Junin2–1W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

UCV – last 6

DDWWLD
16 May@ Deportivo La Guaira0–0D
13 Mayvs Deportivo La Guaira1–1D
10 Mayvs Puerto Cabello3–1W
6 Mayvs Independiente del Valle2–0W
29 Aprvs Rosario Central0–3L
20 Aprvs Deportivo Tachira FC1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026UCV v Rosario Central0–3
Rosario Central vs UCV head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independiente del Valle6411+513
2Rosario Central6411+813
3UCV6303-49
4Libertad Asuncion6006-90

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub
FT Coquimbo Unido3 Deportes Tolima0 144%2.18X27%3.20229%3.35 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Fluminense2 Bolívar1 163%1.22X20%5.60217%14.50 1.6–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 75%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rosario Central vs UCV?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Rosario Central vs UCV?

On our numbers Rosario Central have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and UCV 11%.

How many goals will there be in Rosario Central vs UCV?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rosario Central vs UCV?

Our predicted score is Rosario Central 2–0 UCV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Rosario Central vs UCV?

Rosario Central vs UCV (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Gigante de Arroyito.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.