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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Fluminense v Bolívar: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Libertadores · South America · Estádio do Maracanã

Fluminense

WDLDL
2–1
FT

Bolívar

DDDWL
Fluminense 63%Draw 20%Bolívar 17% Expected goals 1.60 – 0.90
75%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 55% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultFluminense to win ✓63% · @1.22
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓83% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.58

Fluminense vs Bolívar: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

23:00 WAT, Tuesday 19 May: Fluminense v Bolívar in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, played at Estádio do Maracanã. In the table, Fluminense are 2nd on 8 points after 6 matches; Bolívar are 3rd with 5. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Fluminense, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Operario-PR, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Bolívar, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Nacional Potosí, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Bolívar 2–0 Fluminense.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Fluminense 1.6 xG, Bolívar 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Fluminense 63%, draw 20%, Bolívar 17%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 55%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fluminense 1–1 Bolívar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Fluminense63%fair 1.59 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @5.60
Bolívar17%fair 5.97 · @14.50
2.50Expected goals
1.60Fluminense xG
0.90Bolívar xG
55%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–08%
0–17%

From our goals model: Fluminense 1.6 – 0.9 Bolívar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFluminense to win ✓63%1.591.22
Double chanceFluminense or draw ✓83%1.201.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.822.10 ▲
Draw no betFluminense (draw no bet) ✓79%1.27–
Asian handicapBolívar +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.911.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.461.53 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.20
First team to scoreFluminense to score first59%1.70–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Fluminense / FT Fluminense ✗33%3.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.58–

Recent results

Fluminense – last 6

WDLDLD
13 Mayvs Operario-PR2–1W
7 May@ Independ. Rivadavia1–1D
30 Apr@ Bolívar0–2L
24 Apr@ Operario-PR0–0D
16 Aprvs Independ. Rivadavia1–2L
7 Apr@ Deportivo La Guaira0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Bolívar – last 6

DDDWLD
14 Mayvs Nacional Potosí1–1D
11 May@ Blooming0–0D
6 May@ Deportivo La Guaira1–1D
30 Aprvs Fluminense2–0W
22 Aprvs Independiente Petrolero1–2L
15 Aprvs Deportivo La Guaira1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Bolívar v Fluminense2–0
Fluminense vs Bolívar head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Libertadores table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Independ. Rivadavia6510+916
2Fluminense622208
3Bolívar6123-25
4Deportivo La Guaira6033-73

More CONMEBOL Libertadores predictions

League hub
FT Coquimbo Unido3 Deportes Tolima0 144%2.18X27%3.20229%3.35 1.3–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Rosario Central4 UCV0 170%1.17X19%6.40211%17.50 2.0–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Fluminense vs Bolívar?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Fluminense vs Bolívar?

On our numbers Fluminense have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Bolívar 17%.

How many goals will there be in Fluminense vs Bolívar?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Fluminense vs Bolívar?

Our predicted score is Fluminense 1–1 Bolívar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Fluminense vs Bolívar?

Fluminense vs Bolívar (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Tuesday 19 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio do Maracanã.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.