Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Second League Group 1 brings Sevastopol against Spartak Nalchik at Sportyvnyj Kompleks. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, Sevastopol are 1st, leading the league, on 50 points after 21 matches; Spartak Nalchik are 8th (upper half) with 28. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Sevastopol, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Angust Nazran, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Spartak Nalchik, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Volgar Astrakhan, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sevastopol, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Spartak Nalchik.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Spartak Nalchik 3–2 Sevastopol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sevastopol 1.9 xG, Spartak Nalchik 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sevastopol 64%, draw 21%, Spartak Nalchik 15%.
Lower-risk option: Sevastopol or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.78.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sevastopol 2–0 Spartak Nalchik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sevastopol64%fair 1.56 · @1.51
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @4.50
Spartak Nalchik15%fair 6.64 · @4.89
2.74Expected goals
1.94Sevastopol xG
0.80Spartak Nalchik xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sevastopol 1.9 – 0.8 Spartak Nalchik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik?
On our numbers Sevastopol have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Spartak Nalchik 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik?
Our predicted score is Sevastopol 2–0 Spartak Nalchik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik?
Sevastopol vs Spartak Nalchik (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Sportyvnyj Kompleks.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
