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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rubin Yalta v Druzhba: numbers & prediction

Second League Group 1 · Russia · Avangard Stadium
4–1
FT

Druzhba

WDDDL
Rubin Yalta 63%Draw 22%Druzhba 15% Expected goals 1.86 – 0.79
85%
Betarazi pick

Rubin Yalta or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Rubin Yalta to win @ 1.78 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRubin Yalta to win ✓63% · @1.78
Double chanceRubin Yalta or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Druzhba travel to face Rubin Yalta on Saturday 29 August in the Second League Group 1, with Avangard Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Rubin Yalta are 4th, among the top four, on 34 points after 20 matches; Druzhba are 9th (lower half) with 27.

Current form

Rubin Yalta, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nart Cherkessk, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Druzhba, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Izberbash, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Rubin Yalta, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Druzhba.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Druzhba 2–2 Rubin Yalta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rubin Yalta 1.9 xG, Druzhba 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rubin Yalta 63%, draw 22%, Druzhba 15%.
  • Lower-risk option: Rubin Yalta or draw (85%) at 1.20.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.63.
  • Price worth noting: Rubin Yalta to win @1.78 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 63%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Rubin Yalta or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rubin Yalta 1–0 Druzhba. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rubin Yalta63%fair 1.59 · @1.78
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.60
Druzhba15%fair 6.57 · @4.03
2.65Expected goals
1.86Rubin Yalta xG
0.79Druzhba xG
56%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Rubin Yalta 1.9 – 0.8 Druzhba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRubin Yalta to win ✓63%1.591.78 ▲
Double chanceRubin Yalta or draw ✓85%1.181.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.791.63
Draw no betRubin Yalta (draw no bet) ✓81%1.24–
Asian handicapRubin Yalta -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.17
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.901.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.461.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.201.16
First team to scoreRubin Yalta to score first ✓65%1.53–
Half-time resultRubin Yalta ahead at half-time ✓45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Rubin Yalta / FT Rubin Yalta ✓40%2.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Rubin Yalta – last 6

WWDWDD
22 Aug@ Nart Cherkessk1–0W
15 Augvs Izberbash2–1W
9 Aug@ Dynamo Makhachkala II1–1D
1 Augvs Angust Nazran3–2W
25 Jul@ Spartak Nalchik1–1D
4 Jul@ Druzhba2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Druzhba – last 6

WDDDLL
26 Augvs Izberbash2–1W
22 Augvs Kyzyltash1–1D
15 Aug@ FK Chayka 21–1D
12 Aug@ Angust Nazran0–0D
8 Augvs Shahter Taganrog1–2L
25 Julvs Sevastopol1–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Jul 2026Druzhba v Rubin Yalta2–2
Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba head-to-head page →

Second League Group 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Sevastopol211623+2150
2Shahter Taganrog211443+2246
3Rostov II211443+2946
4Rubin Yalta20974+1034
5Pobeda201037+1133
6Kyzyltash21948+631
7Nart Cherkessk20938+830
8Spartak Nalchik20776+728
9Druzhba20767-227
10Lugansk21669-624
11Astrakhan205510-1020
12Izberbash216015-3818
13Angust Nazran204412-1216
14FK Chayka 2214215-2614
15Dynamo Makhachkala II213513-2014
16PSK Dinskaya000000

More Second League Group 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?

Our pick is Rubin Yalta or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?

On our numbers Rubin Yalta have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Druzhba 15%.

How many goals will there be in Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?

Our predicted score is Rubin Yalta 1–0 Druzhba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba?

Rubin Yalta vs Druzhba (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Avangard Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.