Rostov II 46%Draw 22%Pobeda 32%Expected goals 1.70 – 1.37
63%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Pobeda to win @ 3.34 – our chance 32% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRostov II to win ✓46% · @2.02
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Rostov II vs Pobeda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Rostov II welcome Pobeda for a Second League Group 1 fixture on Saturday 29 August (16:00 WAT). In the table, Rostov II are 3rd, among the top four, on 46 points after 21 matches; Pobeda are 5th (upper half) with 33. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Rostov II, last 5: DDWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Astrakhan, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pobeda, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Lugansk, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Jul 2026) it ended Pobeda 2–2 Rostov II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rostov II 1.7 xG, Pobeda 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rostov II 46%, draw 22%, Pobeda 32%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: Pobeda to win @3.34 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (63%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rostov II 1–1 Pobeda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rostov II46%fair 2.16 · @2.02
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.40
Pobeda32%fair 3.11 · @3.34
3.07Expected goals
1.70Rostov II xG
1.37Pobeda xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Rostov II 1.7 – 1.4 Pobeda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Rostov II vs Pobeda?
On our numbers Rostov II have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pobeda 32%.
How many goals will there be in Rostov II vs Pobeda?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rostov II vs Pobeda?
Our predicted score is Rostov II 1–1 Pobeda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Rostov II vs Pobeda?
Rostov II vs Pobeda (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
