Value bet: Chertanovo Moscow to win @ 2.76 – our chance 41% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultChertanovo Moscow to win41% · @2.76
Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.02
Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chertanovo Moscow travel to face Cherepovets on Sunday 17 May in the Second League Group 2 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Cherepovets are 9th, lower half, on 24 points after 20 matches; Chertanovo Moscow are 5th (upper half) with 39. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Cherepovets, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Kosmos Dolgoprudny, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Chertanovo Moscow, last 4: WDDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tver, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cherepovets 1.2 xG, Chertanovo Moscow 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cherepovets 33%, draw 26%, Chertanovo Moscow 41%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.61.
Price worth noting: Chertanovo Moscow to win @2.76 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cherepovets 1–1 Chertanovo Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cherepovets33%fair 3.00 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.04
Chertanovo Moscow41%fair 2.45 · @2.76
2.63Expected goals
1.15Cherepovets xG
1.48Chertanovo Moscow xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cherepovets 1.2 – 1.5 Chertanovo Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chertanovo Moscow to win
41%
2.45
2.76 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.68
1.61
Draw no bet
Chertanovo Moscow (draw no bet)
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Cherepovets +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.36
1.23
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
2.00
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Chertanovo Moscow to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chertanovo Moscow / FT Chertanovo Moscow
26%
3.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.02
–
Recent results
Cherepovets – last 5
WWWWL
11 May
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
3–1
W
19 Apr
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–0
W
12 Apr
vs Tver
3–0
W
4 Apr
@ Iskra Smolensk
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Murom
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Chertanovo Moscow – last 4
WDDW
3 May
@ Tver
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Murom
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Torpedo Vladimir
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cherepovets and Chertanovo Moscow.
What is the prediction for Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow?
On our numbers Cherepovets have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Chertanovo Moscow 41%.
How many goals will there be in Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our predicted score is Cherepovets 1–1 Chertanovo Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Cherepovets vs Chertanovo Moscow (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
