Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.44
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals75% · @1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–017% · fair 6.02
Murom vs Irkutsk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Second League Group 2 brings Murom against Irkutsk at Viktor Losev Stadion. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Murom are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 21 matches; Irkutsk are 15th (in the drop zone) with 11. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Murom, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Dinamo Vologda, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Irkutsk, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Spartak Moscow 2, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Murom, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Irkutsk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Murom 1.9 xG, Irkutsk 0.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Murom 70%, draw 20%, Irkutsk 10%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murom 1–0 Irkutsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Murom70%fair 1.42 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 5.08 · @5.10
Irkutsk10%fair 9.90 · @10.25
2.43Expected goals
1.88Murom xG
0.55Irkutsk xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
2–016%
3–010%
1–19%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Murom 1.9 – 0.5 Irkutsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murom to win
70%
1.42
1.22
Double chance
Murom or draw
90%
1.11
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.87
1.44
Draw no bet
Murom (draw no bet)
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Murom -0.5 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.26
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.85
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.13
1.04
First team to score
Murom to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Murom ahead at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murom / FT Murom
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
17%
6.02
–
Recent results
Murom – last 6
WWDWLW
10 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
12 Apr
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–3
L
29 Mar
@ Cherepovets
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Irkutsk – last 6
LLWLLL
14 May
vs Spartak Moscow 2
0–1
L
10 May
vs Luki-Energiya
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Torpedo Vladimir
2–1
W
12 Apr
@ Dinamo Vologda
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Baltika II
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Yenisey II
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murom and Irkutsk.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Murom vs Irkutsk?
On our numbers Murom have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Irkutsk 10%.
How many goals will there be in Murom vs Irkutsk?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murom vs Irkutsk?
Our predicted score is Murom 1–0 Irkutsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Murom vs Irkutsk?
Murom vs Irkutsk (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Viktor Losev Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
