Tver 31%Draw 23%Baltika II 46%Expected goals 1.51 – 1.51
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.61 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.61Odds
1
Value bet: Tver to win @ 4.33 – our chance 31% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +32%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBaltika II to win ✓46% · @1.66
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.61
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.91
Tver vs Baltika II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 17 May the Second League Group 2 brings Tver against Baltika II. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Tver are 8th, upper half, on 24 points after 21 matches; Baltika II are 4th (among the top four) with 40. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Tver, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Yenisey II, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Baltika II, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Iskra Smolensk, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Baltika II, collecting 2.6 points per game to 1.2 for Tver.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tver 1.5 xG, Baltika II 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 57% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tver 31%, draw 23%, Baltika II 46%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.61.
Price worth noting: Tver to win @4.33 – the bookmaker implies 23%, our ratings say 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.61 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tver 1–1 Baltika II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tver31%fair 3.27 · @4.33
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.58
Baltika II46%fair 2.17 · @1.66
3.02Expected goals
1.51Tver xG
1.51Baltika II xG
64%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–18%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tver 1.5 – 1.5 Baltika II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika II to win✓
46%
2.17
1.66
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.61
Draw no bet
Baltika II (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Baltika II +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.12
First team to score
Tver to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tver / FT Tver✗
22%
4.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.91
–
Recent results
Tver – last 6
DLWLLW
10 May
@ Yenisey II
1–1
D
3 May
vs Chertanovo Moscow
0–2
L
26 Apr
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2–0
W
19 Apr
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–3
L
12 Apr
@ Cherepovets
0–3
L
5 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow 2
4–3
W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Baltika II – last 5
WDWWW
10 May
vs Iskra Smolensk
4–1
W
26 Apr
vs Luki-Energiya
1–1
D
12 Apr
vs Torpedo Vladimir
2–0
W
5 Apr
@ Irkutsk
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tver and Baltika II.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Tver vs Baltika II?
On our numbers Tver have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Baltika II 46%.
How many goals will there be in Tver vs Baltika II?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tver vs Baltika II?
Our predicted score is Tver 1–1 Baltika II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tver vs Baltika II?
Tver vs Baltika II (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
