Value bet: Chertanovo Moscow to win @ 2.81 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBaltika II to win ✗38% · @2.19
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.28
Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Chertanovo Moscow travel to face Baltika II on Sunday 21 June in the Second League Group 2, with Baltika Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Baltika II are 4th, among the top four, on 40 points after 21 matches; Chertanovo Moscow are 5th (upper half) with 39. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Baltika II, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kosmos Dolgoprudny, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Chertanovo Moscow, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Yenisey II, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Baltika II 1.4 xG, Chertanovo Moscow 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Baltika II 38%, draw 24%, Chertanovo Moscow 38%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.63.
Price worth noting: Chertanovo Moscow to win @2.81 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Baltika II 1–1 Chertanovo Moscow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Baltika II38%fair 2.63 · @2.19
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.34
Chertanovo Moscow38%fair 2.65 · @2.81
2.80Expected goals
1.37Baltika II xG
1.43Chertanovo Moscow xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Baltika II 1.4 – 1.4 Chertanovo Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika II to win✗
38%
2.63
2.19
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
1.63
Draw no bet
Baltika II (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Baltika II +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.07
First team to score
Chertanovo Moscow to score first✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chertanovo Moscow / FT Chertanovo Moscow✓
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.28
–
Recent results
Baltika II – last 6
WLLWWW
14 Jun
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–3
L
31 May
@ Cherepovets
0–1
L
24 May
vs Spartak Moscow 2
3–0
W
17 May
@ Tver
1–0
W
10 May
vs Iskra Smolensk
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chertanovo Moscow – last 6
WWLWDD
14 Jun
vs Yenisey II
3–1
W
31 May
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
3–0
W
24 May
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–1
L
3 May
@ Tver
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Murom
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika II and Chertanovo Moscow.
What is the prediction for Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
On our numbers Baltika II have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chertanovo Moscow 38%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our predicted score is Baltika II 1–1 Chertanovo Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Baltika Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
