Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.39 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMurom to win ✓73% · @1.24
Double chanceMurom or draw ✓91% · fair 1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.39
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Murom vs Iskra Smolensk: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Iskra Smolensk travel to face Murom on Sunday 21 June in the Second League Group 2, with Viktor Losev Stadion the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, Murom are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 21 matches; Iskra Smolensk are 14th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Murom, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Luki-Energiya, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Iskra Smolensk, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Luki-Energiya, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Murom, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Iskra Smolensk.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Murom 2.3 xG, Iskra Smolensk 0.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Murom 73%, draw 18%, Iskra Smolensk 9%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.39.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.39 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Murom 2–0 Iskra Smolensk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Murom73%fair 1.36 · @1.24
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @4.45
Iskra Smolensk9%fair 11.34 · @12.25
2.89Expected goals
2.28Murom xG
0.61Iskra Smolensk xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–013%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Murom 2.3 – 0.6 Iskra Smolensk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murom to win✓
73%
1.36
1.24
Double chance
Murom or draw✓
91%
1.10
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.39 ▲
Draw no bet
Murom (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Murom -1 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
–
First team to score
Murom to score first✓
74%
1.34
–
Half-time result
Murom ahead at half-time✓
54%
1.85
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murom / FT Murom✓
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Murom – last 6
LWLWWD
7 Jun
@ Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
31 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
23 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
10 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Iskra Smolensk – last 6
DDLLLW
13 Jun
vs Luki-Energiya
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
1–1
D
30 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
24 May
@ Irkutsk
1–2
L
10 May
@ Baltika II
1–4
L
2 May
vs Yenisey II
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murom and Iskra Smolensk.
What is the prediction for Murom vs Iskra Smolensk?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Murom vs Iskra Smolensk?
On our numbers Murom have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Iskra Smolensk 9%.
How many goals will there be in Murom vs Iskra Smolensk?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murom vs Iskra Smolensk?
Our predicted score is Murom 2–0 Iskra Smolensk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Murom vs Iskra Smolensk?
Murom vs Iskra Smolensk (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Viktor Losev Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
