Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.01 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLuki-Energiya to win ✓56% · @1.42
Double chanceLuki-Energiya or draw ✓81% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.01
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.56
Luki-Energiya vs Tver: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Luki-Energiya welcome Tver to Stadion Ekspress for a Second League Group 2 fixture on Sunday 21 June (14:00 WAT). In the table, Luki-Energiya are 3rd, among the top four, on 42 points after 21 matches; Tver are 8th (upper half) with 24. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Luki-Energiya, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Iskra Smolensk, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Tver, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Zvezda St. Petersburg, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Luki-Energiya, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.5 for Tver.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Luki-Energiya 1.6 xG, Tver 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Luki-Energiya 56%, draw 24%, Tver 19%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.01.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.01 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Luki-Energiya 1–1 Tver. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Luki-Energiya56%fair 1.78 · @1.42
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.58
Tver19%fair 5.14 · @7.70
2.64Expected goals
1.59Luki-Energiya xG
1.05Tver xG
54%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–09%
0–17%
0–07%
From our goals model: Luki-Energiya 1.6 – 1.1 Tver expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Luki-Energiya to win✓
56%
1.78
1.42
Double chance
Luki-Energiya or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.01 ▲
Draw no bet
Luki-Energiya (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Tver +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Luki-Energiya to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Luki-Energiya / FT Luki-Energiya✗
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Luki-Energiya – last 6
DWWDWW
13 Jun
@ Iskra Smolensk
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Murom
2–1
W
24 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
17 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
1–1
D
10 May
@ Irkutsk
1–0
W
3 May
vs Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Tver – last 6
LLWLLL
14 Jun
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
1–2
L
7 Jun
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–2
L
31 May
vs Irkutsk
3–2
W
24 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–2
L
21 May
@ Spartak Moscow 2
1–2
L
17 May
vs Baltika II
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Luki-Energiya and Tver.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Tver?
On our numbers Luki-Energiya have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tver 19%.
How many goals will there be in Luki-Energiya vs Tver?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Luki-Energiya vs Tver?
Our predicted score is Luki-Energiya 1–1 Tver, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Luki-Energiya vs Tver?
Luki-Energiya vs Tver (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Ekspress.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
