Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultGenk to win56% · @1.67
Double chanceGenk or draw80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.18
Genk vs OH Leuven: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Genk v OH Leuven in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Cegeka Arena. In the table, Genk are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 11 matches; OH Leuven are 10th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Genk, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Antwerp, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Genk 1.8 xG, OH Leuven 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 56%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Genk 56%, draw 24%, OH Leuven 20%.
Lower-risk option: Genk or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Genk 1–1 OH Leuven. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Genk56%fair 1.80 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.90
OH Leuven20%fair 4.93 · @4.75
2.88Expected goals
1.80Genk xG
1.08OH Leuven xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
3–16%
From our goals model: Genk 1.8 – 1.1 OH Leuven expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Genk to win
56%
1.80
1.67
Double chance
Genk or draw
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.72
1.60
Draw no bet
Genk (draw no bet)
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
OH Leuven +1.5 (Asian handicap)
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.28
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
66%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.18
First team to score
Genk to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Genk ahead at half-time
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Genk / FT Genk
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.18
–
Recent results
Genk – last 6
WLWWWL
3 Apr
@ Antwerp
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ SC Freiburg
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs St. Truiden
1–0
W
12 Mar
vs SC Freiburg
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Gent
3–0
W
26 Feb
vs Dinamo Zagreb
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
OH Leuven
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Genk and OH Leuven.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Genk vs OH Leuven?
On our numbers Genk have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 24% and OH Leuven 20%.
How many goals will there be in Genk vs OH Leuven?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Genk vs OH Leuven?
Our predicted score is Genk 1–1 OH Leuven, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Genk vs OH Leuven?
Genk vs OH Leuven (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Cegeka Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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