Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.16
KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Sunday 12 April: KV Mechelen v Union St. Gilloise in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne. In the table, KV Mechelen are 11th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Union St. Gilloise are 1st (leading the league) with 29. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
KV Mechelen, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Gent, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KV Mechelen 0.9 xG, Union St. Gilloise 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KV Mechelen 15%, draw 22%, Union St. Gilloise 63%.
Lower-risk option: Union St. Gilloise or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: KV Mechelen 0–2 Union St. Gilloise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KV Mechelen15%fair 6.47 · @4.80
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.75
Union St. Gilloise63%fair 1.60 · @1.68
2.80Expected goals
0.86KV Mechelen xG
1.94Union St. Gilloise xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: KV Mechelen 0.9 – 1.9 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union St. Gilloise to win✓
63%
1.60
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Union St. Gilloise or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.83
Draw no bet
Union St. Gilloise (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Union St. Gilloise -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.91
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.11
First team to score
Union St. Gilloise to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Union St. Gilloise ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union St. Gilloise / FT Union St. Gilloise✓
40%
2.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.16
–
Recent results
KV Mechelen – last 5
DWLWL
6 Apr
@ Gent
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Anderlecht
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ Gent
1–3
L
22 Feb
@ RAAL La Louvière
2–0
W
13 Feb
vs Genk
2–3
L
1.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Union St. Gilloise – last 1
D
1 Mar
@ KVC Westerlo
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KV Mechelen and Union St. Gilloise.
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers KV Mechelen have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union St. Gilloise 63%.
How many goals will there be in KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is KV Mechelen 0–2 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise?
KV Mechelen vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Veoliastadion Achter De Kazerne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dender