Anderlecht vs Gent: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:30 WAT, Sunday 12 April: Anderlecht v Gent in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Lotto Park. In the table, Anderlecht are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 11 matches; Gent are 3rd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Anderlecht, last 5: LLDWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Club Brugge KV, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Gent, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with KV Mechelen, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Anderlecht 1.5 xG, Gent 1.1 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Anderlecht 48%, draw 27%, Gent 25%.
Lower-risk option: Anderlecht or draw (75%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Anderlecht or draw (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Anderlecht 1–1 Gent. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Anderlecht48%fair 2.10 · @1.90
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @3.70
Gent25%fair 3.94 · @3.65
2.61Expected goals
1.49Anderlecht xG
1.12Gent xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.5 – 1.1 Gent expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Anderlecht to win
48%
2.10
1.90
Double chance
Anderlecht or draw
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.68
1.55
Draw no bet
Anderlecht (draw no bet)
65%
1.53
–
Asian handicap
Gent +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
1.18
First team to score
Anderlecht to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Anderlecht / FT Anderlecht
27%
3.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.94
–
Recent results
Anderlecht – last 5
LLDWD
6 Apr
@ Club Brugge KV
2–4
L
15 Mar
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Club Brugge KV
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Zulte Waregem
4–2
W
15 Feb
vs RAAL La Louvière
0–0
D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Gent – last 5
DWWLL
6 Apr
vs KV Mechelen
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
8 Mar
vs KV Mechelen
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Genk
0–3
L
20 Feb
vs Cercle Brugge
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Anderlecht and Gent.
Our pick is Anderlecht or draw with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Anderlecht vs Gent?
On our numbers Anderlecht have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gent 25%.
How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs Gent?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs Gent?
Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–1 Gent, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Anderlecht vs Gent?
Anderlecht vs Gent (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dender