Value bet: Union St. Gilloise to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultClub Brugge KV to win ✓44% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Union St. Gilloise travel to face Club Brugge KV on Sunday 17 May in the Jupiler Pro League, with Jan Breydel Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 17:30 WAT. In the table, Club Brugge KV are 2nd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Union St. Gilloise are 1st (leading the league) with 29. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Club Brugge KV, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Gent, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Union St. Gilloise, last 4: DDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Anderlecht, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Club Brugge KV, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Union St. Gilloise.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Club Brugge KV 1.6 xG, Union St. Gilloise 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Club Brugge KV 44%, draw 24%, Union St. Gilloise 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Union St. Gilloise to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Club Brugge KV 1–1 Union St. Gilloise. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Club Brugge KV44%fair 2.30 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.55
Union St. Gilloise33%fair 3.06 · @3.45
2.97Expected goals
1.56Club Brugge KV xG
1.41Union St. Gilloise xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–28%
0–17%
2–06%
From our goals model: Club Brugge KV 1.6 – 1.4 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Brugge KV to win✓
44%
2.30
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Draw no bet
Club Brugge KV (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Union St. Gilloise +1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
Club Brugge KV to score first✓
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Brugge KV / FT Club Brugge KV✓
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Club Brugge KV – last 6
WWWDWL
26 Apr
@ Gent
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs KV Mechelen
6–1
W
6 Apr
vs Anderlecht
4–2
W
8 Mar
vs Anderlecht
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Charleroi
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Atletico Madrid
1–4
L
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Union St. Gilloise – last 4
DDWD
14 May
vs Anderlecht
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Gent
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ KV Mechelen
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ KVC Westerlo
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Brugge KV and Union St. Gilloise.
What is the prediction for Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers Club Brugge KV have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union St. Gilloise 33%.
How many goals will there be in Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is Club Brugge KV 1–1 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Jan Breydel Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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