Lommel United vs Dender: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Lommel United v Dender in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Soevereinstadion.
Current form
Lommel United, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Liège, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Dender, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Cercle Brugge, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Lommel United, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Dender.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lommel United 1.5 xG, Dender 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lommel United 43%, draw 26%, Dender 31%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lommel United 1–1 Dender. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lommel United43%fair 2.31 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.50
Dender31%fair 3.21 · @3.10
2.68Expected goals
1.45Lommel United xG
1.23Dender xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
1–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Lommel United 1.5 – 1.2 Dender expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lommel United to win✓
43%
2.31
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Draw no bet
Lommel United (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Dender +1 (Asian handicap)
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.17
First team to score
Lommel United to score first✗
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lommel United / FT Lommel United✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Lommel United – last 6
WWLWDL
27 Apr
@ Liège
2–1
W
23 Apr
vs Liège
3–0
W
17 Apr
@ Beerschot VA
1–2
L
15 Mar
vs Francs Borains
3–1
W
11 Mar
@ KAA Gent II
2–2
D
1 Mar
vs Seraing United
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Dender – last 5
LLWDL
24 Apr
@ Cercle Brugge
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Cercle Brugge
1–4
L
6 Apr
@ RAAL La Louvière
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Cercle Brugge
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs St. Truiden
1–4
L
0.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lommel United and Dender.
What is the prediction for Lommel United vs Dender?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Lommel United vs Dender?
On our numbers Lommel United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Dender 31%.
How many goals will there be in Lommel United vs Dender?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lommel United vs Dender?
Our predicted score is Lommel United 1–1 Dender, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Lommel United vs Dender?
Lommel United vs Dender (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Soevereinstadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
