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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Anderlecht v KV Mechelen: numbers & prediction

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium · Lotto Park
2–2
FT
Anderlecht 57%Draw 23%KV Mechelen 21% Expected goals 1.88 – 0.97
79%
Betarazi pick

Anderlecht or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultAnderlecht to win ✗57% · @1.83
Double chanceAnderlecht or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:30 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Anderlecht v KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League, played at Lotto Park. In the table, Anderlecht are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 11 matches; KV Mechelen are 11th (lower half) with 12.

Current form

Anderlecht, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Union St. Gilloise, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

KV Mechelen, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gent, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours KV Mechelen, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Anderlecht.

Head to head

When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended KV Mechelen 1–0 Anderlecht.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Anderlecht 1.9 xG, KV Mechelen 1.0 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Anderlecht 57%, draw 23%, KV Mechelen 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Anderlecht or draw (79%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Anderlecht or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Anderlecht 1–0 KV Mechelen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Anderlecht57%fair 1.76 · @1.83
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.80
KV Mechelen21%fair 4.85 · @3.85
2.85Expected goals
1.88Anderlecht xG
0.97KV Mechelen xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%

From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.9 – 1.0 KV Mechelen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAnderlecht to win ✗57%1.761.83
Double chanceAnderlecht or draw ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.57
Draw no betAnderlecht (draw no bet)73%1.36–
Asian handicapKV Mechelen +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.811.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.501.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.17
First team to scoreAnderlecht to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultAnderlecht ahead at half-time ✗43%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Anderlecht / FT Anderlecht ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.09–

Recent results

Anderlecht – last 6

DDLLLD
14 May@ Union St. Gilloise1–1D
10 May@ Gent1–1D
23 Apr@ St. Truiden0–2L
6 Apr@ Club Brugge KV2–4L
15 Mar@ KV Mechelen0–1L
8 Mar@ Club Brugge KV2–2D
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

KV Mechelen – last 6

WLLDWL
3 Mayvs Gent1–0W
22 Apr@ Club Brugge KV1–6L
12 Aprvs Union St. Gilloise0–1L
6 Apr@ Gent1–1D
15 Marvs Anderlecht1–0W
8 Mar@ Gent1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Mar 2026KV Mechelen v Anderlecht1–0
Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen head-to-head page →

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Union St. Gilloise11920+2329
2Club Brugge KV11911+1828
3Gent11911+1428
4Charleroi11902+1327
5Anderlecht11623+220
6Lommel United11443+216
7Genk11434+315
8Standard Liege11434+215
9KVC Westerlo11425-414
10OH Leuven11335-512
11KV Mechelen11335-712
12St. Truiden11326011
13Antwerp11326-611
14Zulte Waregem11326-711
15SK Beveren11317-1010
16Cercle Brugge11236-89
17RAAL La Louvière11218-117
18Kortrijk11119-194

More Jupiler Pro League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?

Our pick is Anderlecht or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?

On our numbers Anderlecht have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and KV Mechelen 21%.

How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?

Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–0 KV Mechelen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?

Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.