Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSao Paulo to win ✓53% · @1.41
Double chanceSao Paulo or draw ✓78% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Sao Paulo vs Juventude: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Juventude travel to face Sao Paulo on Tuesday 21 April in the Copa Do Brasil, with MorumBIS the venue – the ball rolls at 23:15 WAT.
Current form
Sao Paulo, last 5: WWDLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over O'Higgins, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Juventude, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over CRB, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sao Paulo, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Juventude.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sao Paulo 1.5 xG, Juventude 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sao Paulo 53%, draw 25%, Juventude 22%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sao Paulo 1–1 Juventude. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sao Paulo53%fair 1.88 · @1.41
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @4.35
Juventude22%fair 4.57 · @7.60
2.69Expected goals
1.53Sao Paulo xG
1.16Juventude xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Sao Paulo 1.5 – 1.2 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sao Paulo to win✓
53%
1.88
1.41
Double chance
Sao Paulo or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Sao Paulo (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Juventude +1 (Asian handicap)
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.12
First team to score
Sao Paulo to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sao Paulo / FT Sao Paulo✓
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Sao Paulo – last 6
WWDLLW
14 Apr
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Boston River
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Internacional
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Palmeiras
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ RB Bragantino
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Juventude – last 6
WDLDLL
19 Apr
@ CRB
1–0
W
16 Apr
vs Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Caxias
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Novorizontino
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Novorizontino
0–2
L
25 Mar
@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sao Paulo and Juventude.
What is the prediction for Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
On our numbers Sao Paulo have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Juventude 22%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Sao Paulo 1–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Sao Paulo vs Juventude (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at MorumBIS.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Botafogo1
Chapecoense-sc0
Gremio2
Confiança0