Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBotafogo to win ✓59% · @1.43
Double chanceBotafogo or draw ✓83% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 21 April the Copa Do Brasil brings Botafogo against Chapecoense-sc at Estádio Nilton Santos. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT.
Current form
Botafogo, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Racing Club, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Chapecoense-sc, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Juventude, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Botafogo 1.7 xG, Chapecoense-sc 0.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Botafogo 59%, draw 24%, Chapecoense-sc 17%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Botafogo 1–1 Chapecoense-sc. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Botafogo59%fair 1.69 · @1.43
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @4.10
Chapecoense-sc17%fair 5.94 · @7.80
2.67Expected goals
1.74Botafogo xG
0.94Chapecoense-sc xG
56%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.7 – 0.9 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win✓
59%
1.69
1.43
Double chance
Botafogo or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Botafogo (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Chapecoense-sc +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Botafogo to score first✓
60%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo✗
35%
2.88
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Botafogo – last 6
WDWWLL
15 Apr
@ Racing Club
3–2
W
9 Apr
vs Caracas FC
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–1
W
1 Apr
vs Mirassol
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–4
L
18 Mar
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
DWDLWD
16 Apr
@ Juventude
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Avai
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
0–4
L
26 Mar
vs São Bernardo
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Corinthians
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chapecoense-sc 17%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 1–1 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sao Paulo1
Juventude0
Gremio2
Confiança0