Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 59% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBurkina Faso to win ✗72% · @1.25
Double chanceBurkina Faso or draw ✓90% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.59
Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 31 March: Burkina Faso v Guinea-Bissau in the Friendlies, played at Stade du 4 Aout.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Burkina Faso 2.8 xG, Guinea-Bissau 1.1 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 65% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Burkina Faso 72%, draw 18%, Guinea-Bissau 10%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (83%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Burkina Faso 2–1 Guinea-Bissau. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Burkina Faso72%fair 1.39 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.52 · @5.00
Guinea-Bissau10%fair 9.95 · @10.25
3.93Expected goals
2.84Burkina Faso xG
1.09Guinea-Bissau xG
59%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Burkina Faso 2.8 – 1.1 Guinea-Bissau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Burkina Faso to win✗
72%
1.39
1.25
Double chance
Burkina Faso or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Burkina Faso (draw no bet)
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Burkina Faso -1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.70 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
First team to score
Burkina Faso to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Burkina Faso ahead at half-time✗
56%
1.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burkina Faso / FT Burkina Faso✗
51%
1.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.59
–
Recent results
Burkina Faso
No recent results on record.
Guinea-Bissau
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Burkina Faso and Guinea-Bissau.
What is the prediction for Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau?
On our numbers Burkina Faso have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Guinea-Bissau 10%.
How many goals will there be in Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau?
Our predicted score is Burkina Faso 2–1 Guinea-Bissau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau?
Burkina Faso vs Guinea-Bissau (Friendlies) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade du 4 Aout.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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