Albion FC vs Cerro Largo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cerro Largo travel to face Albion FC on Sunday 5 April in the Primera División Apertura, with Estadio Luis Franzini the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Albion FC are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 13 matches; Cerro Largo are 15th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Albion FC, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Defensor Sporting, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Cerro Largo, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Club Nacional, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Albion FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Cerro Largo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albion FC 1.4 xG, Cerro Largo 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albion FC 47%, draw 27%, Cerro Largo 27%.
Lower-risk option: Albion FC or draw (73%) at 1.28.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Albion FC or draw (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albion FC 1–0 Cerro Largo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albion FC47%fair 2.15 · @2.08
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.10
Cerro Largo27%fair 3.75 · @3.50
2.36Expected goals
1.40Albion FC xG
0.96Cerro Largo xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Albion FC 1.4 – 1.0 Cerro Largo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
Attack vs Primera División Apertura average
+10%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
+16%
+5%
Our expected goals here
1.47
0.97
Our own ratings from every Primera División Apertura result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albion FC to win✗
47%
2.15
2.08
Double chance
Albion FC or draw✓
73%
1.36
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.95
Draw no bet
Albion FC (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Cerro Largo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Albion FC to score first
54%
1.86
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albion FC / FT Albion FC✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.26
–
Recent results
Albion FC – last 6
DWWLLW
31 Mar
@ Defensor Sporting
1–1
D
25 Mar
vs Wanderers
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Juventud
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Penarol
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Racing Montevideo
1–3
L
16 Feb
vs Cerro
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cerro Largo – last 6
LWWLLL
25 Mar
@ Club Nacional
0–3
L
20 Mar
vs Deportivo Maldonado
3–1
W
15 Mar
@ Central Espanol
3–1
W
9 Mar
vs Atletico Torque
0–1
L
1 Mar
@ Liverpool Montevideo
0–2
L
21 Feb
@ Defensor Sporting
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albion FC and Cerro Largo.
What is the prediction for Albion FC vs Cerro Largo?
Our pick is Albion FC or draw with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Albion FC vs Cerro Largo?
On our numbers Albion FC have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cerro Largo 27%.
How many goals will there be in Albion FC vs Cerro Largo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albion FC vs Cerro Largo?
Our predicted score is Albion FC 1–0 Cerro Largo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Albion FC vs Cerro Largo?
Albion FC vs Cerro Largo (Primera División Apertura) kicks off on Sunday 5 April 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luis Franzini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
