Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUzbekistan to win ✗49% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Uzbekistan vs Venezuela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Venezuela travel to face Uzbekistan on Monday 30 March in the , with Milliy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Uzbekistan 1.8 xG, Venezuela 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Uzbekistan 49%, draw 25%, Venezuela 26%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Uzbekistan 1–1 Venezuela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Uzbekistan49%fair 2.06 · @1.95
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.25
Venezuela26%fair 3.83 · @3.50
3.22Expected goals
1.78Uzbekistan xG
1.44Venezuela xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Uzbekistan 1.8 – 1.4 Venezuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Uzbekistan to win✗
49%
2.06
1.95
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.64
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Uzbekistan (draw no bet)
65%
1.54
–
Asian handicap
Venezuela +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
First team to score
Uzbekistan to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Uzbekistan / FT Uzbekistan✗
28%
3.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Uzbekistan – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Gabon
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Venezuela – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs Trinidad and Tobago
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Uzbekistan and Venezuela.
What is the prediction for Uzbekistan vs Venezuela?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Uzbekistan vs Venezuela?
On our numbers Uzbekistan have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Venezuela 26%.
How many goals will there be in Uzbekistan vs Venezuela?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Uzbekistan vs Venezuela?
Our predicted score is Uzbekistan 1–1 Venezuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Uzbekistan vs Venezuela?
Uzbekistan vs Venezuela () kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Milliy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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