Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.44Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 62% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +46%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAzerbaijan to win ✗63% · @1.70
Double chanceAzerbaijan or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.80
Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sierra Leone travel to face Azerbaijan on Monday 30 March in the , with Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Azerbaijan 3.0 xG, Sierra Leone 1.6 xG – a total near 4.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Azerbaijan 63%, draw 23%, Sierra Leone 14%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.35 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.44 – longer than our fair 1.26, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Azerbaijan 3–1 Sierra Leone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Azerbaijan63%fair 1.58 · @1.70
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Sierra Leone14%fair 7.13 · @4.80
4.64Expected goals
3.04Azerbaijan xG
1.60Sierra Leone xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
2–26%
4–16%
1–15%
From our goals model: Azerbaijan 3.0 – 1.6 Sierra Leone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Azerbaijan to win✗
63%
1.58
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Azerbaijan or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Azerbaijan (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Azerbaijan -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.44 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
2.35 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
First team to score
Azerbaijan to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Azerbaijan ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Azerbaijan / FT Azerbaijan✗
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.80
–
Recent results
Azerbaijan – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs St. Lucia
6–1
W
6.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sierra Leone
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Azerbaijan and Sierra Leone.
What is the prediction for Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone?
On our numbers Azerbaijan have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sierra Leone 14%.
How many goals will there be in Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone?
Our predicted score is Azerbaijan 3–1 Sierra Leone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone?
Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone () kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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